The Oscars are a couple of months later than usual, and I’d completely forgotten about them, so this is a rather hastily compiled summary. I did mean to tick off a few more nominated films, but I wasn’t particularly inspired. There are 39 films with at least one nomination, and I’ve seen 19 of them, nearly half. Thanks to a couple of films getting multiple nominations though, I’ve seen 51 out of 97 nominations, which is slightly more than half. Half ain’t great, but then by my searching about a third of them aren’t even available in the UK.
Still, for the sake of not missing a year, here are my thoughts and predictions.
Mank – I cynically predicted that this would get a nomination because it was black and white and Hollywood does love a self-referential film. But outside of a couple of good performances (see later) it was baggy, confused, self absorbed and boring.
Minari – Interesting idea, good acting, beautiful cinematography but too thin resulting in a film so boring my companion fell asleep.
The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Sorkin doing his thing and doing it well
Films I haven’t seen – Nomadland, Promising Young Woman, The Father, Judas and the Black Messiah
Well of the fairly pathetic three that I’ve seen, the only one I liked was Trial of the Chicago 7 so that would be my pick. But I would guess that Nomadland will win.
David Fincher – Mank – I didn’t think this film was very well put together
Lee Isaac Chung – Minari – I guess a director works with the script they get and if there’s not enough in it there’s not much they can do about it.
Films I haven’t seen – Thomas Vinterberg – Another Round, Chloé Zhao – Nomadland, Emerald Fennell – Promising Young Woman
Who do I think should win… I really don’t care, I will randomly guess for Nomadland. Aaron Sorkin for Trial of Chicago 7 could have been here probably.
Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – it’s a stagey film and a stagey performance that isn’t without merit, but it felt rather more like two good monologues rather than an outstanding lead performance
Gary Oldman – Mank as Herman J. Mankiewicz – an excellent performance with a lot of range and depth
Steven Yeun – Minari as Jacob Yi – it makes me very happy that Glenn from The Walking Dead has an Oscar nomination, but he’s not gonna win.
Films I’ve not seen: Riz Ahmed – Sound of Metal, Anthony Hopkins – The Father
Missing from this list is Paul Bettany for the really lovely Uncle Frank.
This is a tricky one. I’d vote for Gary Oldman of the ones I’ve seen, but from what I’ve seen and heard, Riz Ahmed sounds like a truly outstanding performance and the trailer for The Father has Anthony Hopkins being amazing – plus at 83 this may be one of the last opportunities. However I think Chadwick Boseman is going to win it, and while he probably doesn’t deserve it for this role, he would have won one eventually and he deserves the mark of respect. Randomly as I’m writing this I’m re-watching Justified from 2011 where he appears in 2 scenes as a thug, he came up fast didn’t he?
Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom as Ma Rainey – a big performance that fills the screen and would have filled the stage.
Films I’ve not seen: Andra Day – The United States vs. Billie Holiday, Vanessa Kirby – Pieces of a Woman, Frances McDormand – Nomadland, Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman
I’m disappointed in myself for not seeing more of these performances because I’ve heard really good things about all of them. If I had to guess, I’d tag Frances McDormand for another win.
Best Supporting Actor
Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of the Chicago 7 – he delivers Sorkin’s dialogue perfectly, and he crafts a character that is larger than life and completely credible.
Leslie Odom Jr. – One Night in Miami… – another stagey film and performance, but his performance was one of the few bits of the film that I liked.
Haven’t seen: Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah, Lakeith Stanfield – Judas and the Black Messiah, Paul Raci – Sound of Metal
I am amazed to be saying this, but I think Sacha Baron Cohen should probably win this.
Best Supporting Actress
Amanda Seyfried – Mank as Marion Davies – she manages to be a point of colour and brightness in an otherwise dreary film.
Youn Yuh-jung – Minari – there is so much going on with this character, she’s mother/mother-in-law and grandma as well as a character in her own right, and she slots into so many roles in the film – antagonist, comic-relief, and emotional heart. I would be tempted to call it a lead role as she does a lot of the heavy lifting.
Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy – the whole of this film is so far over done that it turned itself into a parody and Glenn Close is just as bad.
Films not seen: Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, Olivia Colman – The Father (but it’s Olivia Colman and the trailer looks amazing)
I would like to see Youn Yuh-jung win this one, a really wonderful performance, but as long as Glenn Close doesn’t win, I’ll be okay.
Best Original Screenplay
The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Aaron Sorkin – there is a huge amount in this film – lots of characters, complex history, interweaving timelines and detailed legal procedings and as usual Sorkin juggles them all into something that’s understandable, impactful and entertaining.
Minari – Lee Isaac Chung – the core ideas and characters are very good, but I think it needed more to make the runtime worth it.
Not seen: Judas and the Black Messiah – Screenplay by Will Berson and Shaka King; Story by Berson, King, Keith Lucas and Kenny Lucas, Promising Young Woman – Emerald Fennell, Sound of Metal – Screenplay by Abraham Marder and Darius Marder; Story by Derek Cianfrance and D. Marder
Aaron Sorkin delivers yet again and deserves this win. I would have also called out I’d also call out Kelly O’Sullivan for Saint Francis.
Best Adapted Screenplay
One Night in Miami… – Kemp Powers, based on his play – and to my mind there wasn’t enough adaption to make it a film. Plus I feel uncomfortable about something that’s mixing the history of real people with a completely made up scenario.
The White Tiger – Ramin Bahrani, based on the novel by Aravind Adiga – I read and loved the novel a decade ago, and I watched and loved the film.
Not seen – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm – Screenplay by Sacha Baron Cohen, Peter Baynham, Jena Friedman, Anthony Hines, Lee Kern, Dan Mazer, Erica Rivinoja and Dan Swimer; Story by Baron Cohen, Hines, Nina Pedrad and Swimer; Based on the character by Baron Cohen – (I’m not quite clear on what this is adapted from), The Father – Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller, based on the play by Zeller, Nomadland – Chloé Zhao, based on the book by Jessica Bruder
Well I’d go for the only one I’ve seen, The White Tiger as it was very well done.
Best Animated Feature Film
Onward – Kori Rae and Dan Scanlon – a nice film, but I wasn’t actually blown away by it, I just wanted a bit more.
Over the Moon – Peilin Chou, Glen Keane and Gennie Rin – this had a lovely opening section, and then they went to the moon and it turned into generic multiculoured, pop song nothingness.
A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon – Will Becher, Paul Kewley and Richard Phelan – I loved this film, packed full of story, references, jokes, character and heart, although given I saw it in Oct 2019 it feels like a very long time coming.
Soul – Pete Docter and Dana Murray – I didn’t like this film, I even gave it a second attempt and I still felt that it was jumbled, dull and had a message that felt like it started off telling you one thing (find what you love) and then told you that was a trick and you should just live. I was confused and underwhelmed. Just go watch Inside Out again instead.
Wolfwalkers – Tomm Moore, Stéphan Roelants, Ross Stewart and Paul Young – sadly not seen
My easy choice for this is Shaun the Sheep, but Soul will win.
Best International Feature Film
Not seen any of them: Another Round (Denmark), Collective (Romania), The Man Who Sold His Skin (Tunisia), Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
I’m afraid I haven’t seen any of these, I would slightly randomly guess Quo Vadis, Aida will win.
Best Documentary Feature
Crip Camp – Sara Bolder, Jim LeBrecht and Nicole Newnham – a really fascinating and eye opening documentary, highly recommended
My Octopus Teacher – Pippa Ehrlich, Craig Foster and James Reed – beautiful, educational, emotional and inspiring.
Not seen: The Mole Agent – Maite Alberdi and Marcela Santibáñez, Time – Garrett Bradley, Lauren Domino and Kellen Quinn, Collective – Alexander Nanau and Bianca Oana
It’s a tough choice between the two I’ve seen, and I highly recommend watching them both (they’re on netflix) but I think My Octopus Teacher is the one that has had the more profound emotional impact. Circus of Books was eligible for nomination as well which would have been a good choice.
Best Documentary Short Subject
Colette, A Concerto Is a Conversation Do Not Split, Hunger Ward, A Love Song for Latasha
I haven’t seen any of them I’m afraid, I’ll predict A Love Song for Latasha.
Best Live Action Short Film
Feeling Through – Doug Roland and Susan Ruzenski, The Letter Room – Elvira Lind and Sofia Sondervan, The Present – Ossama Bawardi and Farah Nabulsi, Two Distant Strangers – Travon Free and Martin Desmond Roe, White Eye – Shira Hochman and Tomer Shushan
I watched all of these (see my other post for details), my favourite would be Feeling Through, but I think Two Distant Strangers will win because of the subject matter of black lives matter, and I have zero problem with that.
Best Animated Short Film
If Anything Happens I Love You – Michael Govier and Will McCormack – beautifully animated and powerful, but the structure didn’t quite work.
Burrow – Michael Capbarat and Madeline Sharafian – lovely, but nothing particularly special
Not seen: Genius Loci – Adrien Mérigeau and Amaury Ovise, Opera – Erick Oh, Yes-People – Arnar Gunnarsson and Gísli Darri Halldórsson
Of the two I saw Burrow aimed middling and thoroughly succeeded, but If Anything Happens I Love You aimed very high but missed and I’m not sure how to balance that. So I’m randomly going to go for Yes-People which I didn’t see but the trailer made me actually want to see it.
Best Original Score
Da 5 Bloods – Terence Blanchard, Mank – Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
Minari – Emile Mosseri, News of the World – James Newton Howard, Soul – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross and Jon Batiste
I’ve seen all of these except Da 5 Bloods, but I have no particular memory of the scores except for Soul for which music was such a key element that it will surely win, plus it was good (if you like jazz)
Best Original Song
“Fight for You” from Judas and the Black Messiah – Music by D’Mile and H.E.R.; lyric by H.E.R. and Tiara Thomas
“Hear My Voice” from The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Music by Daniel Pemberton; lyric by Celeste and Pemberton
“Husavik” from Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga – Music and lyric by Rickard Göransson, Fat Max Gsus and Savan Kotecha
“Io sì (Seen)” from The Life Ahead – Music by Diane Warren; lyric by Laura Pausini and Warren
“Speak Now” from One Night in Miami… – Music and lyric by Sam Ashworth and Leslie Odom Jr.
I listened to all of these on Youtube and the only one that was memorable even when I was actually listening to it was the one from Eurovision: The Story of Fire Saga, which was a great Eurovision song and really connected to the film so that would definitely be my choice.
Greyhound – Beau Borders, Michael Minkler, Warren Shaw and David Wyman
Mank – Ren Klyce, Drew Kunin, Jeremy Molod, Nathan Nance and David Parker
News of the World – William Miller, John Pritchett, Mike Prestwood Smith and Oliver Tarney
Soul – Coya Elliot, Ren Klyce and David Parker
Sound of Metal – Jaime Baksht, Nicolas Becker, Philip Bladh, Carlos Cortés and Michelle Couttolenc
Given that Sound of Metal is all about sound, I think this is probably a sure thing.
Best Production Design
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – Production Design: Mark Ricker; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara and Diana Sroughton – given the minimal settings, it doesn’t feel like there was enough opportunity here for outstanding design.
Mank – Production Design: Donald Graham Burt; Set Decoration: Jan Pascale – actually, this film did look amazing, capturing the different looks of Hollywood through time and place, plus making a rich and lush design on black and white can’t be easy.
News of the World – Production Design: David Crank; Set Decoration: Elizabeth Keenan – the world was a lot more interesting to look at than the film was to watch.
Tenet – Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Kathy Lucas – the style was slick and the only film on this list I saw on the big screen, but it didn’t really do much for me.
The Father – Production Design: Peter Francis; Set Decoration: Cathy Featherstone – and the trailer looks fairly isolated in location (another one based on a play) but actually the flat is such an important factor in the story that I can see why the production design is so important.
I think maybe Mank?
Mank – Erik Messerschmidt – making modern films feel like old classics is a really difficult thing to achieve, and for all that I didn’t think much of the story, there’s a lot of technical achievement in this.
News of the World – Dariusz Wolski – the cinematography is possibly the best thing about this film, it is beautiful to look at while also making it clear that the beauty comes at a price – hard work and loneliness, territorial fights despite the seeming endless space.
The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Phedon Papamichael – I didn’t initially think of the cinematography being impressive, but I suspect it was harder than it looks. There’s a mixture of styles going on – intimate spaces in the courtrooms and offices, but also massive exterior scenes of riots and protests.
Not seen – Judas and the Black Messiah – Sean Bobbitt, Nomadland – Joshua James Richards
I think News of the World, although possibly Nomadland will win it.
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Emma. – Laura Allen, Marese Langan and Claudia Stolze – I’ve seen it but I have no memory of the makeup or hair, or they film as a whole actually.
Hillbilly Elegy – Patricia Dehaney, Eryn Krueger Mekash and Matthew W. Mungle – I guess it takes a lot of effort to make people look this bad (the 80s were not a kind time to anyone)
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – Sergio Lopez-Rivera, Mia Neal and Jamika Wilson – I remember people being hot and sweaty… I guess that’s hard to pull off
Mank – Colleen LaBaff, Kimberley Spiteri and Gigi Williams – Hollywood glamour plus black and white is probably tricky.
Not seen – Pinocchio – Dalia Colli, Mark Coulier and Francesco Pegoretti
I suspect Hillbilly Elegy might be the best achievement, but I’m not sure anyone will want to give it any awards at all, so maybe Mank.
Best Costume Design
Emma. – Alexandra Byrne – yup, English period drama, gotta love it
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – Ann Roth – as it’s all set in one day and it’s a period piece, it doesn’t feel like there was a huge amount of opportunity for design.
Mank – Trish Summerville – more period stuff
Mulan – Bina Daigeler – the costumes were incredible
Not seen – Pinocchio – Massimo Cantini Parrini
My vote would be for Mulan
Best Film Editing
The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Alan Baumgarten – I can see that editing around Sorkin’s dialogue is no small achievement, and the interweaving flashbacks with overlapping narratives must have been a challenge.
Not seen: The Father – Yorgos Lamprinos, Nomadland – Chloé Zhao, Promising Young Woman – Frédéric Thoraval, Sound of Metal – Mikkel E.G. Nielsen
I’d vote for Trial of Chicago 7 as it’s impressive and the only one I’ve seen, but I think I would predict Sound of Metal
Best Visual Effects
The Midnight Sky – The film is very interesting, but for a sci fi film there didn’t feel like much in the way of visual effects, maybe that’s the accomplishment as I’m sure there was a lot of artificial backgrounds etc going on.
Mulan – I did very much like the film, but I’ll be honest that I can’t remember much in the way of visual effects in it.
The One and Only Ivan – The animal animation was very well done, and I was impressed that the talking, photo-realistic animals were credible not creepy.
Tenet – I didn’t like the film much but there were some slick effects that made the backwards stuff
Not seen – Love and Monsters
Without all the big blockbusters it’s a bit quieter in this category than usual, but of this set I’d rather weirdly vote for The One and Only Ivan given the effects were at the very heart of the film.